Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 18:45 • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.22) 0.28 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 41.3% 12.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.1%
1 - 0
27.2%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 33.1% 9.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.2% 7.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.1% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapoliPisa
Played33
Form100%11%
Attack60%10%
Defense90%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 21 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.33 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoli Pisa
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%100%100%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%100%0%67%

Form: Napoli: WWW • Pisa: DLL

League goals

Metric Napoli Pisa
HATHAT
GF total156011
GF avg1.02.52.00.01.00.3
GA total011213
GA avg0.00.50.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapoliPisa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%33%100%
1.567%0%0%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapoliPisa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricNapoliPisa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNapoliPisa
Wins30
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-3
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For1301
Goals Against0111

Model comparison

MetricNapoliPisa
Form90%10%
Att86%14%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total83.7%16.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Napoli or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Betano
Draw5.67 @ 1xBet
Away12.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.56 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Napoli = 0.82 (league 1.22), Pisa = 0.28 (league 1.05)

Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 33.1% 9.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.2% 7.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.1% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 41.3% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1