Serie A — Italy
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.24) 1.60 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.2% 22.6% 71.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.4%
0 - 2
20.3%
0 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 15.9% 25.4% 20.3% 10.8% 4.3% 1.4%
1 3.8% 6.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorinoAtalanta
Played33
Form44%56%
Attack8%50%
Defense58%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.73 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torino Atalanta
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%50%0%33%
Draws100%0%33%50%100%67%
Loses0%50%33%0%0%0%

Form: Torino: LDW • Atalanta: DDW

League goals

Metric Torino Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total011516
GF avg0.00.50.32.51.02.0
GA total055213
GA avg0.02.51.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorinoAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%33%100%100%
1.50%33%33%0%
2.50%33%33%0%
3.50%33%33%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorinoAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricTorinoAtalanta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTorinoAtalanta
Wins00
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-14-1—
Biggest losses—5-0——
Goals For0141
Goals Against0511

Model comparison

MetricTorinoAtalanta
Form44%56%
Att14%86%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total39.2%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atalanta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away2.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torino = 0.24 (league 1.24), Atalanta = 1.60 (league 1.06)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 15.9% 25.4% 20.3% 10.8% 4.3% 1.4%
1 3.8% 6.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.2% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 71.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1