Serie A — Italy
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:45 • Bluenergy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.25) 1.89 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.2% 20.5% 68.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 2
15.4%
0 - 3
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 8.6% 16.3% 15.4% 9.7% 4.6% 1.7%
1 4.8% 9.1% 8.6% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0%
2 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUdineseAC Milan
Played33
Form78%67%
Attack44%44%
Defense78%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.34 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Udinese AC Milan
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%100%67%50%100%67%
Draws100%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Udinese: DWW • AC Milan: LWW

League goals

Metric Udinese AC Milan
HATHAT
GF total134224
GF avg1.01.51.31.02.01.3
GA total112202
GA avg1.00.50.71.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUdineseAC Milan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%33%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUdineseAC Milan
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricUdineseAC Milan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUdineseAC Milan
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-21-00-2
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For1212
Goals Against1120

Model comparison

MetricUdineseAC Milan
Form54%46%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Milan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ 188Bet
Draw3.68 @ 1xBet
Away1.88 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Udinese = 0.56 (league 1.25), AC Milan = 1.89 (league 1.06)

AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 8.6% 16.3% 15.4% 9.7% 4.6% 1.7%
1 4.8% 9.1% 8.6% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0%
2 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.2% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 68.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1