Serie A — Italy
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:45 • Unipol Domus
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
4.85 (league 1.24) 1.38 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.3% 6.2% 4.4%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.3%
5 - 1
6.1%
3 - 1
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.3% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 5.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.5% 6.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.4% 6.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCagliariInter
Played44
Form58%50%
Attack33%73%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.311 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.87 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cagliari Inter
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%50%50%67%0%50%
Draws50%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%33%100%50%

Form: Cagliari: DLWW • Inter: WLLW

League goals

Metric Cagliari Inter
HATHAT
GF total3258311
GF avg1.51.01.32.73.02.8
GA total123347
GA avg0.51.00.81.04.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCagliariInter
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%75%
1.550%0%75%50%
2.50%0%50%25%
3.50%0%25%25%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCagliariInter
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricCagliariInter
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCagliariInter
Wins01
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-25-0—
Biggest losses—1-01-24-3
Goals For2253
Goals Against1124

Model comparison

MetricCagliariInter
Form54%46%
Att31%69%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h7%93%
Goals24%76%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Inter and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.60 @ Betano
Draw4.30 @ 188Bet
Away1.62 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cagliari = 4.85 (league 1.24), Inter = 1.38 (league 1.09)

Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.3% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 5.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.5% 6.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.4% 6.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.3% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 4.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1