Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:45 • Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.23) 0.47 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 44.3% 23.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.8%
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 33.8% 16.0% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 9.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaLazio
Played44
Form17%25%
Attack15%31%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.54 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

43%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Lazio
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%50%0%25%
Draws50%50%50%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%50%100%75%

Form: Genoa: DLDL • Lazio: LWLL

League goals

Metric Genoa Lazio
HATHAT
GF total022404
GF avg0.01.00.52.00.01.0
GA total134134
GA avg0.51.51.00.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaLazio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%25%75%
1.50%25%25%25%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaLazio
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricGenoaLazio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGenoaLazio
Wins01
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0
Biggest losses0-12-10-12-0
Goals For0140
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricGenoaLazio
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals13%88%
Total31.2%69.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lazio and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Pinnacle
No1.79 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 0.61 (league 1.23), Lazio = 0.47 (league 1.06)

Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 33.8% 16.0% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 9.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 44.3% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1