Serie A — Italy
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:00 • Allianz Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.24) 2.83 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.6% 15.4% 64.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
8.0%
0 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus 0 1.8% 5.0% 7.0% 6.6% 4.7% 2.7%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.5% 8.0% 5.7% 3.2%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventusAtalanta
Played44
Form83%67%
Attack50%56%
Defense75%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 29 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 13 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventus Atalanta
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%50%50%50%
Draws0%50%25%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Juventus: WWWD • Atalanta: DDWW

League goals

Metric Juventus Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total628549
GF avg3.01.02.02.52.02.3
GA total314213
GA avg1.50.51.01.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventusAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%75%
1.550%25%50%0%
2.525%25%50%0%
3.525%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventusAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricJuventusAtalanta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJuventusAtalanta
Wins30
Draws02
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-10-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4143
Goals Against3111

Model comparison

MetricJuventusAtalanta
Form56%44%
Att47%53%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h62%38%
Goals43%57%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Juventus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ 1xBet
Draw3.58 @ 1xBet
Away4.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Unibet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juventus = 1.21 (league 1.24), Atalanta = 2.83 (league 1.06)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus 0 1.8% 5.0% 7.0% 6.6% 4.7% 2.7%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.5% 8.0% 5.7% 3.2%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 64.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1