Serie A — Italy
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.21) 0.45 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 53.0% 27.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
46.0%
0 - 1
20.5%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pisa 0 46.0% 20.5% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPisaFiorentina
Played44
Form8%17%
Attack21%21%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.83 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.56 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pisa Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%25%0%100%50%
Loses100%50%75%100%0%50%

Form: Pisa: DLLL • Fiorentina: DDLL

League goals

Metric Pisa Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total033213
GF avg0.01.50.81.00.50.8
GA total246516
GA avg1.02.01.52.50.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePisaFiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%75%
1.525%25%0%50%
2.50%25%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPisaFiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricPisaFiorentina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPisaFiorentina
Wins00
Draws12
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses0-13-21-3—
Goals For0211
Goals Against1331

Model comparison

MetricPisaFiorentina
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fiorentina and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.85 @ 188Bet
Draw3.34 @ 1xBet
Away2.27 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.72 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pisa = 0.33 (league 1.21), Fiorentina = 0.45 (league 1.12)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pisa 0 46.0% 20.5% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 53.0% · Away win 27.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1