Serie A — Italy
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.24) 0.23 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 36.2% 8.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.1%
0 - 0
28.9%
2 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 28.9% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaVerona
Played44
Form75%25%
Attack21%14%
Defense93%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.82 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Verona
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%50%75%
Loses50%0%25%0%50%25%

Form: AS Roma: WWLW • Verona: DLDD

League goals

Metric AS Roma Verona
HATHAT
GF total123112
GF avg0.51.00.80.50.50.5
GA total101156
GA avg0.50.00.30.52.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaVerona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%25%50%75%
1.50%0%0%25%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaVerona
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricAS RomaVerona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAS RomaVerona
Wins20
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-1——
Biggest losses0-1——4-0
Goals For1111
Goals Against1014

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaVerona
Form75%25%
Att60%40%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h60%40%
Goals54%46%
Total69.5%30.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AS Roma or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 1xBet
Draw4.46 @ 1xBet
Away9.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 1.01 (league 1.24), Verona = 0.23 (league 1.06)

Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 28.9% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1