Serie A — Italy
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 10:30 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.24) 1.38 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.2% 26.7% 67.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.3%
0 - 0
20.5%
0 - 2
19.6%
Score & goals probability table
Udinese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 20.5% 28.3% 19.6% 9.0% 3.1% 0.9%
1 4.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
2 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloUdinese
Played44
Form25%58%
Attack29%29%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.85 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Udinese
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%0%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses50%100%75%50%0%25%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWL • Udinese: DWWL

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Udinese
HATHAT
GF total134134
GF avg0.51.51.00.51.51.0
GA total257415
GA avg1.02.51.82.00.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloUdinese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%75%
1.525%75%25%25%
2.50%25%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloUdinese
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricSassuoloUdinese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSassuoloUdinese
Wins12
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0——1-2
Biggest losses0-23-20-3—
Goals For1212
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloUdinese
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h36%64%
Goals44%56%
Total35.8%64.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Udinese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ 1xBet
Draw3.24 @ 1xBet
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 0.20 (league 1.24), Udinese = 1.38 (league 1.09)

Udinese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 20.5% 28.3% 19.6% 9.0% 3.1% 0.9%
1 4.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
2 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.2% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 67.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1