Serie A — Italy
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:45 • Gewiss Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.22) 0.90 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 20.3% 15.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 5.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 6.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalantaComo
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack63%38%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta Como
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%33%50%40%
Draws50%67%60%67%0%40%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%20%

Form: Atalanta: DDWWD • Como: WLDWD

League goals

Metric Atalanta Como
HATHAT
GF total5510426
GF avg2.51.72.01.31.01.2
GA total224224
GA avg1.00.70.80.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalantaComo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%80%80%
1.540%0%40%0%
2.540%0%0%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalantaComo
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricAtalantaComo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAtalantaComo
Wins21
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-32-01-2
Biggest losses———1-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricAtalantaComo
Form53%47%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h67%33%
Goals67%33%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Atalanta or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ 1xBet
Draw3.46 @ 1xBet
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.09 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 188Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atalanta = 2.06 (league 1.22), Como = 0.90 (league 1.11)

Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 5.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 6.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 15.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1