Serie A — Italy
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Match Finished
4 - 0
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.22) 0.67 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.8% 15.1% 8.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 4.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.8% 7.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.7% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBolognaPisa
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack33%20%
Defense67%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bologna Pisa
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%0%40%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%20%33%50%40%
Loses0%67%40%67%50%60%

Form: Bologna: LWLWD • Pisa: DLLLD

League goals

Metric Bologna Pisa
HATHAT
GF total325033
GF avg1.50.71.00.01.50.6
GA total145246
GA avg0.51.31.00.72.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBolognaPisa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%40%80%
1.540%20%20%20%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBolognaPisa
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score022303

Penalties

MetricBolognaPisa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBolognaPisa
Wins10
Draws01
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1———
Biggest losses—1-00-13-2
Goals For2202
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricBolognaPisa
Form78%22%
Att63%38%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total68.5%31.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bologna or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away5.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ SBO
Under 2.51.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Unibet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bologna = 2.46 (league 1.22), Pisa = 0.67 (league 1.12)

Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 4.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.8% 7.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.7% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 8.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1