Serie A — Italy
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
3 - 3
Expected Goals
3.70 (league 1.24) 0.33 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.1% 4.7% 1.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.0%
4 - 0
13.9%
2 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Torino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.2% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.9% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.3% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioTorino
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack50%14%
Defense71%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Torino
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%33%40%0%33%20%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%20%
Loses50%67%60%50%67%60%

Form: Lazio: LWLLW • Torino: LDWLL

League goals

Metric Lazio Torino
HATHAT
GF total437022
GF avg2.01.01.40.00.70.4
GA total1343710
GA avg0.51.00.81.52.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioTorino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%40%60%
1.540%20%0%60%
2.540%0%0%40%
3.520%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioTorino
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricLazioTorino
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLazioTorino
Wins11
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-3—0-1
Biggest losses0-12-00-35-0
Goals For4301
Goals Against1235

Model comparison

MetricLazioTorino
Form60%40%
Att78%22%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total73.3%26.7%

Advice: Winner : Lazio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 1xBet
Draw3.46 @ 1xBet
Away5.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 3.70 (league 1.24), Torino = 0.33 (league 1.06)

Torino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.2% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.9% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.3% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 1.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1