Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.23) 0.47 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.1% 13.7% 5.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.2%
1 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 5.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaLecce
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack21%29%
Defense57%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma Lecce
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%0%0%0%
Draws50%33%40%33%50%40%
Loses0%67%40%67%50%60%

Form: Parma: LDLDW • Lecce: DLLLD

League goals

Metric Parma Lecce
HATHAT
GF total303314
GF avg1.50.00.61.00.50.8
GA total2466410
GA avg1.01.31.22.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%60%80%
1.520%40%20%80%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricParmaLecce
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricParmaLecce
Wins00
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses2-00-24-1
Goals For2021
Goals Against1224

Model comparison

MetricParmaLecce
Form71%29%
Att43%57%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total62.7%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Parma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ 1xBet
Draw3.47 @ 1xBet
Away4.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ SBO
Under 2.51.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma = 2.44 (league 1.23), Lecce = 0.47 (league 1.06)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 5.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1