Serie A — Italy
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:45 • Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.24) 0.71 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 33.3% 24.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
18.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verona 0 18.0% 12.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVeronaSassuolo
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack13%47%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Verona Sassuolo
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%0%0%67%0%40%
Draws100%33%60%0%0%0%
Loses0%67%40%33%100%60%

Form: Verona: DLDDL • Sassuolo: LLWLW

League goals

Metric Verona Sassuolo
HATHAT
GF total112437
GF avg0.50.30.41.31.51.4
GA total178358
GA avg0.52.31.61.02.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVeronaSassuolo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%80%80%
1.50%40%40%60%
2.50%20%20%20%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVeronaSassuolo
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricVeronaSassuolo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVeronaSassuolo
Wins01
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-1—
Biggest losses—4-00-23-2
Goals For1132
Goals Against1423

Model comparison

MetricVeronaSassuolo
Form33%67%
Att22%78%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : Verona or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away3.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Verona = 1.01 (league 1.24), Sassuolo = 0.71 (league 1.06)

Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verona 0 18.0% 12.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1