Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:00 • Gewiss Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.23) 0.95 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.8% 24.7% 21.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 7.6% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.7% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalantaLazio
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense33%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta Lazio
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%33%33%33%
Draws67%67%67%33%0%17%
Loses0%0%0%33%67%50%

Form: Atalanta: DDWWDD • Lazio: LWLLWD

League goals

Metric Atalanta Lazio
HATHAT
GF total65117310
GF avg2.01.71.82.31.01.7
GA total325437
GA avg1.00.70.81.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalantaLazio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%50%67%
1.533%0%50%33%
2.533%0%50%17%
3.517%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalantaLazio
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricAtalantaLazio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAtalantaLazio
Wins21
Draws20
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against1132

Model comparison

MetricAtalantaLazio
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Atalanta or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw3.86 @ 1xBet
Away4.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atalanta = 1.63 (league 1.23), Lazio = 0.95 (league 1.06)

Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 7.6% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.7% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 21.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1