Serie A — Italy
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.24) 0.60 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 43.5% 30.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.5%
0 - 1
19.5%
1 - 0
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 32.5% 19.5% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 10.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaParma
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack75%75%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Parma
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%33%0%17%
Draws33%33%33%33%33%33%
Loses67%67%67%33%67%50%

Form: Genoa: DLDLLL • Parma: LDLDWL

League goals

Metric Genoa Parma
HATHAT
GF total033303
GF avg0.01.00.51.00.00.5
GA total459347
GA avg1.31.71.51.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaParma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%33%83%
1.50%50%17%33%
2.50%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaParma
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score303134

Penalties

MetricGenoaParma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGenoaParma
Wins01
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-1—
Biggest losses0-32-10-12-0
Goals For0120
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricGenoaParma
Form17%83%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals54%46%
Total45.6%54.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Parma and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Bet365
Draw3.06 @ 1xBet
Away3.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Pinnacle
No1.71 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 0.53 (league 1.24), Parma = 0.60 (league 1.09)

Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 32.5% 19.5% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 10.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 43.5% · Away win 30.6%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1