Serie A — Italy
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.24) 2.44 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.0% 18.6% 57.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
7.4%
1 - 3
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 2.2% 5.4% 6.6% 5.4% 3.3% 1.6%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.0% 7.4% 4.5% 2.2%
2 2.1% 5.1% 6.2% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5%
3 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLecceSassuolo
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack42%67%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecce Sassuolo
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%67%33%50%
Draws33%33%33%0%0%0%
Loses67%33%50%33%67%50%

Form: Lecce: DLLLDW • Sassuolo: LLWLWW

League goals

Metric Lecce Sassuolo
HATHAT
GF total325448
GF avg1.00.70.81.31.31.3
GA total6410358
GA avg2.01.31.71.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLecceSassuolo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%67%
1.517%67%33%50%
2.50%17%17%17%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLecceSassuolo
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricLecceSassuolo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLecceSassuolo
Wins01
Draws10
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-10-1
Biggest losses0-24-10-23-2
Goals For2132
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricLecceSassuolo
Form31%69%
Att38%62%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total35.7%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sassuolo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.17 @ 1xBet
Away2.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecce = 1.37 (league 1.24), Sassuolo = 2.44 (league 1.06)

Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 2.2% 5.4% 6.6% 5.4% 3.3% 1.6%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.0% 7.4% 4.5% 2.2%
2 2.1% 5.1% 6.2% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5%
3 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 57.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1