Serie A — Italy
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.24) 0.70 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 24.7% 16.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 9.9% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaInter
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack50%100%
Defense83%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Inter
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%100%83%75%50%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%17%25%50%33%

Form: AS Roma: WWLWWW • Inter: WLLWWW

League goals

Metric AS Roma Inter
HATHAT
GF total34712517
GF avg1.01.31.23.02.52.8
GA total112448
GA avg0.30.30.31.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaInter
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%33%100%67%
1.533%0%83%33%
2.50%0%50%17%
3.50%0%33%17%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaInter
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAS RomaInter
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAS RomaInter
Wins21
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-25-00-2
Biggest losses0-1—1-24-3
Goals For2253
Goals Against1124

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaInter
Form57%43%
Att33%67%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Inter

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ 1xBet
Away2.31 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.80 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 1.61 (league 1.24), Inter = 0.70 (league 1.06)

Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 9.9% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1