Serie A — Italy
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 • Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.24) 2.82 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.9% 12.0% 75.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.5%
0 - 3
11.7%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 3.1% 8.8% 12.5% 11.7% 8.3% 4.7%
1 2.0% 5.7% 8.0% 7.5% 5.3% 3.0%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorinoNapoli
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack42%83%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torino Napoli
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%25%17%100%67%83%
Draws50%25%33%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%0%33%17%

Form: Torino: LDWLLD • Napoli: WWWWLW

League goals

Metric Torino Napoli
HATHAT
GF total0556612
GF avg0.01.30.82.02.02.0
GA total31013336
GA avg1.52.52.21.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorinoNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%100%67%
1.517%67%67%33%
2.517%50%33%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorinoNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricTorinoNapoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricTorinoNapoli
Wins14
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-21-3
Biggest losses0-35-0—2-1
Goals For0333
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricTorinoNapoli
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total33.4%66.6%

Advice: Winner : Napoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away1.87 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torino = 0.64 (league 1.24), Napoli = 2.82 (league 1.06)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 3.1% 8.8% 12.5% 11.7% 8.3% 4.7%
1 2.0% 5.7% 8.0% 7.5% 5.3% 3.0%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.9% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 75.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1