Serie A — Italy
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 18:45 • Stadio Giovanni Zini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.22) 1.56 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 25.5% 56.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 10.0% 15.6% 12.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.5% 11.6% 9.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCremoneseAtalanta
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack33%100%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cremonese Atalanta
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%25%33%29%
Draws67%50%57%75%67%71%
Loses0%25%14%0%0%0%

Form: Cremonese: WWDDDLD • Atalanta: DDWWDDD

League goals

Metric Cremonese Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total4486511
GF avg1.31.01.11.51.71.6
GA total369325
GA avg1.01.51.30.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCremoneseAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%86%71%
1.529%29%29%0%
2.514%14%29%0%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCremoneseAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricCremoneseAtalanta
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCremoneseAtalanta
Wins22
Draws32
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-24-10-3
Biggest losses—4-1——
Goals For3243
Goals Against2411

Model comparison

MetricCremoneseAtalanta
Form31%69%
Att25%75%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h13%88%
Goals22%78%
Total25.8%74.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atalanta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ 1xBet
Away1.65 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cremonese = 0.74 (league 1.22), Atalanta = 1.56 (league 1.09)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 10.0% 15.6% 12.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.5% 11.6% 9.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 56.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1