Serie A — Italy
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.24) 2.16 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.6% 18.8% 66.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.0%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 5.2% 11.1% 12.0% 8.7% 4.7% 2.0%
1 4.1% 9.0% 9.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6%
2 1.7% 3.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaBologna
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack29%71%
Defense36%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Bologna
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins0%0%0%100%25%57%
Draws0%75%43%0%25%14%
Loses100%25%57%0%50%29%

Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLL • Bologna: LWLWDWW

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Bologna
HATHAT
GF total3257411
GF avg1.00.50.72.31.01.6
GA total7310145
GA avg2.30.81.40.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaBologna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%71%57%
1.50%57%57%14%
2.50%14%14%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaBologna
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaBologna
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaBologna
Wins01
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-1—1-0
Goals For1142
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaBologna
Form9%91%
Att29%71%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Winner : Bologna

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away3.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 0.80 (league 1.24), Bologna = 2.16 (league 1.06)

Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 5.2% 11.1% 12.0% 8.7% 4.7% 2.0%
1 4.1% 9.0% 9.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6%
2 1.7% 3.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 66.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1