Serie A — Italy
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.24) 0.86 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.8% 22.2% 16.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 6.6% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.3% 10.5% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.1% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioJuventus
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack43%43%
Defense64%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Juventus
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%50%33%43%
Draws33%25%29%50%33%43%
Loses33%50%43%0%33%14%

Form: Lazio: LWLLWDD • Juventus: WWWDDDL

League goals

Metric Lazio Juventus
HATHAT
GF total7310729
GF avg2.30.81.41.80.71.3
GA total437437
GA avg1.30.81.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioJuventus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%71%57%
1.543%29%29%29%
2.543%14%14%14%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioJuventus
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricLazioJuventus
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLazioJuventus
Wins13
Draws03
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-00-1
Biggest losses0-12-0—2-0
Goals For4341
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricLazioJuventus
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lazio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away2.39 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 1.86 (league 1.24), Juventus = 0.86 (league 1.06)

Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 6.6% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.3% 10.5% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.1% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 16.8%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1