Serie A — Italy
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:00 • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.24) 1.88 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.8% 20.7% 34.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 1.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.9% 7.4% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapoliInter
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack64%86%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoli Inter
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%50%71%75%67%71%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%29%25%33%29%

Form: Napoli: WWWWLWL • Inter: WLLWWWW

League goals

Metric Napoli Inter
HATHAT
GF total661212618
GF avg2.01.51.73.02.02.6
GA total347448
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapoliInter
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%100%57%
1.557%29%71%29%
2.529%0%43%14%
3.50%0%29%14%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapoliInter
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricNapoliInter
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNapoliInter
Wins41
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-35-00-2
Biggest losses—2-11-24-3
Goals For3353
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricNapoliInter
Form43%57%
Att43%57%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h25%75%
Goals30%70%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Inter

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.76 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away2.55 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Superbet
No2.21 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Napoli = 2.09 (league 1.24), Inter = 1.88 (league 1.06)

Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 1.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.9% 7.4% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 34.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1