Serie A — Italy
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.24) 0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 33.7% 36.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
16.3%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 17.8% 16.3% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaComo
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack22%78%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma Como
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%50%33%43%
Draws33%50%43%50%33%43%
Loses33%50%43%0%33%14%

Form: Parma: LDLDWLD • Como: WLDWDDW

League goals

Metric Parma Como
HATHAT
GF total303639
GF avg1.00.00.41.51.01.3
GA total347235
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaComo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%71%86%71%
1.514%29%43%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaComo
HATHAT
Clean sheets022202
Failed to score145011

Penalties

MetricParmaComo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricParmaComo
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-0—1-0
Goals For2022
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricParmaComo
Form36%64%
Att22%78%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Como and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.13 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma = 0.81 (league 1.24), Como = 0.92 (league 1.09)

Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 17.8% 16.3% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 36.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1