Serie A — Italy
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.24) 1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.4% 31.8% 43.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 16.0% 17.6% 9.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.8% 12.9% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUdineseLecce
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack44%56%
Defense11%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Udinese Lecce
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%0%33%14%
Draws67%25%43%50%33%43%
Loses33%25%29%50%33%43%

Form: Udinese: DWWLLDD • Lecce: DLLLDWD

League goals

Metric Udinese Lecce
HATHAT
GF total257325
GF avg0.71.31.00.80.70.7
GA total55106410
GA avg1.71.31.41.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUdineseLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%57%57%
1.514%29%14%57%
2.50%29%0%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUdineseLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricUdineseLecce
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUdineseLecce
Wins21
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—0-1
Biggest losses0-33-10-24-1
Goals For1221
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricUdineseLecce
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Udinese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away4.85 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Udinese = 0.74 (league 1.24), Lecce = 1.10 (league 1.09)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 16.0% 17.6% 9.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.8% 12.9% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 43.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1