Serie A — Italy
Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 17:30 • Unipol Domus
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.24) 1.22 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 29.6% 45.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 12.8% 15.6% 9.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.0% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.5% 5.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCagliariSassuolo
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack36%36%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cagliari Sassuolo
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%50%25%38%
Draws25%50%38%0%25%13%
Loses50%25%38%50%50%50%

Form: Cagliari: DLWWLDLD • Sassuolo: LLWLWWDL

League goals

Metric Cagliari Sassuolo
HATHAT
GF total358448
GF avg0.81.31.01.01.01.0
GA total5510459
GA avg1.31.31.31.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCagliariSassuolo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%63%63%
1.538%38%25%38%
2.50%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCagliariSassuolo
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricCagliariSassuolo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCagliariSassuolo
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-10-1
Biggest losses0-21-00-23-2
Goals For2232
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricCagliariSassuolo
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Cagliari or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away3.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.78 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cagliari = 0.84 (league 1.24), Sassuolo = 1.22 (league 1.06)

Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 12.8% 15.6% 9.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.0% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.5% 5.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 45.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2