Serie A — Italy
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.24) 0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.7% 35.2% 42.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.2%
0 - 1
20.0%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cremonese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 21.2% 20.0% 9.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.1% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaCremonese
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack23%31%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Cremonese
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%0%0%25%25%25%
Draws50%25%38%75%50%63%
Loses50%75%63%0%25%13%

Form: Genoa: DLDLLLDL • Cremonese: WWDDDLDD

League goals

Metric Genoa Cremonese
HATHAT
GF total044549
GF avg0.01.00.51.31.01.1
GA total47114610
GA avg1.01.81.41.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaCremonese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%75%
1.50%50%25%25%
2.50%13%13%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaCremonese
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score404112

Penalties

MetricGenoaCremonese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGenoaCremonese
Wins02
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-21-2
Biggest losses0-32-1—4-1
Goals For0132
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricGenoaCremonese
Form20%80%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total39.3%60.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cremonese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ 1xBet
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away5.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 0.61 (league 1.24), Cremonese = 0.94 (league 1.06)

Cremonese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 21.2% 20.0% 9.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.1% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 42.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1