Serie A — Italy
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.24) 0.46 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.5% 19.2% 7.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
17.0%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 9.0% 4.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 8.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 7.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInterFiorentina
Played55
Form80%13%
Attack83%42%
Defense58%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inter Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%25%75%50%
Loses25%50%38%75%25%50%

Form: Inter: WLLWWWWL • Fiorentina: DDLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Inter Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total12719527
GF avg3.01.82.41.30.50.9
GA total47119312
GA avg1.01.81.42.30.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInterFiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%75%75%
1.563%38%13%63%
2.538%25%0%13%
3.525%13%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInterFiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets123022
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricInterFiorentina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricInterFiorentina
Wins40
Draws02
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-2——
Biggest losses1-23-11-32-1
Goals For5321
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricInterFiorentina
Form86%14%
Att67%33%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total73.0%27.0%

Advice: Double chance : Inter or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw5.11 @ 1xBet
Away8.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.29 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Inter = 1.94 (league 1.24), Fiorentina = 0.46 (league 1.08)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 9.0% 4.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 8.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 7.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.5% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1