Serie A — Italy
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.24) 2.12 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.1% 18.4% 69.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 1
13.4%
0 - 3
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 6.3% 13.4% 14.1% 10.0% 5.3% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.6% 9.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLecceNapoli
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack46%69%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecce Napoli
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%25%13%100%50%75%
Draws50%25%38%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%0%50%25%

Form: Lecce: DLLLDWDL • Napoli: WWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Lecce Napoli
HATHAT
GF total3479615
GF avg0.81.00.92.31.51.9
GA total6713448
GA avg1.51.81.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLecceNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%88%75%
1.525%63%63%25%
2.50%25%38%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLecceNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricLecceNapoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricLecceNapoli
Wins14
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-1—2-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricLecceNapoli
Form36%64%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h7%93%
Goals11%89%
Total27.5%72.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Napoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away1.63 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ Pinnacle
No1.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecce = 0.65 (league 1.24), Napoli = 2.12 (league 1.06)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 6.3% 13.4% 14.1% 10.0% 5.3% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.6% 9.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.1% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 69.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod3