Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.24) 2.16 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.2% 20.4% 42.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 1.8% 3.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
1 3.3% 7.1% 7.7% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.9% 4.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaLecce
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack36%43%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Lecce
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%0%0%0%25%13%
Draws25%75%50%50%25%38%
Loses75%25%50%50%50%50%

Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLLD • Lecce: DLLLDWDL

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Lecce
HATHAT
GF total527347
GF avg1.30.50.90.81.00.9
GA total93126713
GA avg2.30.81.51.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%63%63%
1.513%63%25%63%
2.50%13%0%25%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaLecce
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaLecce
Wins01
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-1
Biggest losses1-32-10-24-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaLecce
Form29%71%
Att45%55%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Fiorentina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away5.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 1.88 (league 1.24), Lecce = 2.16 (league 1.06)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 1.8% 3.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
1 3.3% 7.1% 7.7% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.9% 4.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.2% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 42.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1