Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.24) 2.13 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 20.5% 42.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 1.8% 3.8% 4.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.7%
1 3.4% 7.2% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaLecce
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack57%71%
Defense0%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Lecce
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%0%0%0%25%11%
Draws25%60%44%40%25%33%
Loses75%40%56%60%50%56%

Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDL • Lecce: DLLLDWDLL

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Lecce
HATHAT
GF total527347
GF avg1.30.40.80.61.00.8
GA total96157714
GA avg2.31.21.71.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%56%67%
1.511%67%22%56%
2.50%22%0%22%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score033314

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaLecce
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaLecce
Wins01
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-1
Biggest losses1-33-00-24-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaLecce
Form29%71%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : Fiorentina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ 1xBet
Draw3.68 @ 1xBet
Away6.00 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 1.89 (league 1.24), Lecce = 2.13 (league 1.08)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 1.8% 3.8% 4.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.7%
1 3.4% 7.2% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 42.1%

Vtot 46 , Vtod1