Serie A — Italy
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.24) 1.20 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 20.7% 21.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 3.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.8% 9.3% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioCagliari
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack54%31%
Defense77%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Cagliari
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%20%33%20%25%22%
Draws25%40%33%20%50%33%
Loses25%40%33%60%25%44%

Form: Lazio: LWLLWDDWD • Cagliari: DLWWLDLDL

League goals

Metric Lazio Cagliari
HATHAT
GF total8311459
GF avg2.00.61.20.81.31.0
GA total4377512
GA avg1.00.60.81.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioCagliari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%44%67%89%
1.533%22%33%44%
2.533%11%0%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioCagliari
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score145213

Penalties

MetricLazioCagliari
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLazioCagliari
Wins12
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-00-21-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricLazioCagliari
Form82%18%
Att64%36%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h100%0%
Goals79%21%
Total72.6%27.4%

Advice: Double chance : Lazio or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw3.86 @ 1xBet
Away6.30 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 2.10 (league 1.24), Cagliari = 1.20 (league 1.09)

Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 3.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.8% 9.3% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 21.0%

Vtot 44 , Vtod1