Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.24) 1.43 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.9% 26.5% 63.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.2%
0 - 2
16.6%
0 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 16.2% 23.2% 16.6% 7.9% 2.8% 0.8%
1 6.3% 9.0% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC MilanAS Roma
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack47%47%
Defense67%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Milan AS Roma
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins60%50%56%60%100%78%
Draws20%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses20%0%11%40%0%22%

Form: AC Milan: LWWWWDWDD • AS Roma: WWLWWWLWW

League goals

Metric AC Milan AS Roma
HATHAT
GF total86145510
GF avg1.61.51.61.01.31.1
GA total617314
GA avg1.20.30.80.60.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC MilanAS Roma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%78%44%
1.556%22%33%0%
2.511%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC MilanAS Roma
HATHAT
Clean sheets134235
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricAC MilanAS Roma
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAC MilanAS Roma
Wins43
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-2—0-1—
Goals For2322
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricAC MilanAS Roma
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h38%62%
Goals41%59%
Total38.0%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AS Roma

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.16 @ 1xBet
Away3.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AC Milan = 0.39 (league 1.24), AS Roma = 1.43 (league 1.09)

AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 16.2% 23.2% 16.6% 7.9% 2.8% 0.8%
1 6.3% 9.0% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 63.2%

Vtot 37 , Vtod1