Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 19:45 •
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.24)
1.47 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 25.9% | 64.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.0%
0 - 2
16.9%
0 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Roma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AC Milan | 0 | 15.7% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AC Milan | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 80% |
| Attack | 64% | 43% |
| Defense | 71% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AC Milan | AS Roma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 60% | 67% | 63% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 13% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: AC Milan: LWWWWDWD • AS Roma: WWLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | AC Milan | AS Roma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AC Milan | AS Roma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 50% | 75% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AC Milan | AS Roma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | AC Milan | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AC Milan | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AC Milan | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 39.7% | 60.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AS Roma and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AC Milan = 0.39 (league 1.24), AS Roma = 1.47 (league 1.06)
| AS Roma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AC Milan | 0 | 15.7% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 64.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1