Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.24) 0.88 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.8% 34.5% 35.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
16.8%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 19.0% 16.8% 7.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaBologna
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack27%91%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma Bologna
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%0%11%75%20%44%
Draws50%40%44%25%40%33%
Loses25%60%44%0%40%22%

Form: Parma: LDLDWLDDL • Bologna: LWLWDWWDD

League goals

Metric Parma Bologna
HATHAT
GF total3147613
GF avg0.80.20.41.81.21.4
GA total369167
GA avg0.81.21.00.31.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaBologna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%67%56%
1.511%33%56%22%
2.50%0%11%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaBologna
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricParmaBologna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricParmaBologna
Wins12
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-0—1-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricParmaBologna
Form36%64%
Att23%77%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bologna and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.06 @ 1xBet
Away2.21 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma = 0.78 (league 1.24), Bologna = 0.88 (league 1.09)

Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 19.0% 16.8% 7.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 39 , Vtod1