Serie A — Italy
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 17:30 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.23) 0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 26.5% 23.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 9.2% 8.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.4% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack46%15%
Defense77%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Genoa
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%0%0%0%
Draws0%20%11%40%25%33%
Loses50%40%44%60%75%67%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLW • Genoa: DLDLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Genoa
HATHAT
GF total4610044
GF avg1.01.21.10.01.00.4
GA total46106713
GA avg1.01.21.11.21.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloGenoa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%44%78%
1.533%33%0%56%
2.511%11%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloGenoa
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score213505

Penalties

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Wins20
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2——
Biggest losses0-23-20-32-1
Goals For3201
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Form91%9%
Att75%25%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total64.3%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Sassuolo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ 1xBet
Draw3.04 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 1.46 (league 1.23), Genoa = 0.92 (league 1.09)

Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 9.2% 8.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.4% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 43 , Vtod1