Serie A — Italy
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 17:30 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.24) 0.95 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.4% 26.6% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 9.1% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack42%25%
Defense67%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Genoa
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%0%0%0%
Draws0%25%13%50%25%38%
Loses50%50%50%50%75%63%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWDL • Genoa: DLDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Genoa
HATHAT
GF total448044
GF avg1.01.01.00.01.00.5
GA total4594711
GA avg1.01.31.11.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloGenoa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%50%75%
1.525%38%0%50%
2.513%13%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloGenoa
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score213404

Penalties

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Wins20
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-1——
Biggest losses0-23-20-32-1
Goals For3201
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Form88%13%
Att63%38%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total60.7%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Sassuolo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 1xBet
Draw3.21 @ 1xBet
Away3.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.62 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 1.45 (league 1.24), Genoa = 0.95 (league 1.05)

Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 9.1% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 24.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1