Serie A — Italy
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:00 • Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.24) 2.48 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.6% 16.1% 69.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.1%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 3
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 3.6% 8.9% 11.1% 9.2% 5.7% 2.8%
1 3.0% 7.5% 9.3% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUdineseAtalanta
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack88%50%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Udinese Atalanta
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%20%25%22%
Draws50%20%33%80%75%78%
Loses25%40%33%0%0%0%

Form: Udinese: DWWLLDDWL • Atalanta: DDWWDDDDD

League goals

Metric Udinese Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total56117613
GF avg1.31.21.21.41.51.4
GA total7815437
GA avg1.81.61.70.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUdineseAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%89%78%
1.522%44%22%0%
2.511%33%22%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUdineseAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricUdineseAtalanta
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUdineseAtalanta
Wins22
Draws22
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-24-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-1——
Goals For3243
Goals Against3311

Model comparison

MetricUdineseAtalanta
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h25%75%
Goals29%71%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atalanta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away1.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.24 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Udinese = 0.84 (league 1.24), Atalanta = 2.48 (league 1.09)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 3.6% 8.9% 11.1% 9.2% 5.7% 2.8%
1 3.0% 7.5% 9.3% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.6% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 69.2%

Vtot 41 , Vtod1