Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.24) 0.39 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 31.9% 12.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
0 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 21.2% 8.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBolognaNapoli
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bologna Napoli
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins75%33%50%80%60%70%
Draws25%33%30%20%0%10%
Loses0%33%20%0%40%20%

Form: Bologna: LWLWDWWDDW • Napoli: WWWWLWLWWD

League goals

Metric Bologna Napoli
HATHAT
GF total79169716
GF avg1.81.51.61.81.41.6
GA total178448
GA avg0.31.20.80.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBolognaNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%80%60%
1.560%20%50%20%
2.520%0%30%0%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBolognaNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricBolognaNapoli
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBolognaNapoli
Wins24
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses—1-0—2-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricBolognaNapoli
Form52%48%
Att65%35%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bologna or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ 1xBet
Draw3.09 @ 1xBet
Away2.67 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bologna = 1.17 (league 1.24), Napoli = 0.39 (league 1.09)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 21.2% 8.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 40 , Vtod1