Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.24) 0.44 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 45.7% 22.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.8%
1 - 0
20.9%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 35.8% 15.9% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.9% 9.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaFiorentina
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack80%80%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%20%10%0%0%0%
Draws40%20%30%20%60%40%
Loses60%60%60%80%40%60%

Form: Genoa: DLDLLLDLLW • Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLL

League goals

Metric Genoa Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total066527
GF avg0.01.20.61.00.40.7
GA total681410616
GA avg1.21.61.42.01.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaFiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%80%60%80%
1.510%50%10%60%
2.50%10%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaFiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets202022
Failed to score505134

Penalties

MetricGenoaFiorentina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGenoaFiorentina
Wins00
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2——
Biggest losses0-32-11-33-0
Goals For0221
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricGenoaFiorentina
Form80%20%
Att50%50%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h7%93%
Goals18%82%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fiorentina and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ 1xBet
Away3.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 0.58 (league 1.24), Fiorentina = 0.44 (league 1.08)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 35.8% 15.9% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.9% 9.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 45.7% · Away win 22.6%

Vtot 31 , Vtod1