Serie A — Italy
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.19 (league 1.24) 1.67 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.9% 21.0% 74.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.9%
0 - 2
21.6%
0 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 15.6% 25.9% 21.6% 12.0% 5.0% 1.7%
1 3.0% 5.0% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaAC Milan
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack18%55%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma AC Milan
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins20%0%10%67%50%60%
Draws40%40%40%17%50%30%
Loses40%60%50%17%0%10%

Form: Parma: LDLDWLDDLL • AC Milan: LWWWWDWDDW

League goals

Metric Parma AC Milan
HATHAT
GF total4159615
GF avg0.80.20.51.51.51.5
GA total6612617
GA avg1.21.21.21.00.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaAC Milan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%70%90%50%
1.510%40%50%20%
2.50%10%10%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaAC Milan
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score246011

Penalties

MetricParmaAC Milan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricParmaAC Milan
Wins14
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-10-3
Biggest losses1-32-01-2—
Goals For2123
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricParmaAC Milan
Form18%82%
Att25%75%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total26.7%73.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AC Milan and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.19 @ 1xBet
Away1.57 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma = 0.19 (league 1.24), AC Milan = 1.67 (league 1.08)

AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 15.6% 25.9% 21.6% 12.0% 5.0% 1.7%
1 3.0% 5.0% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.9% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 74.4%

Vtot 36 , Vtod1