Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.24) 0.66 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.6% 29.1% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Udinese
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 14.1% 9.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaUdinese
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense20%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Udinese
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%80%70%40%40%40%
Draws0%0%0%40%20%30%
Loses40%20%30%20%40%30%

Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWL • Udinese: DWWLLDDWLW

League goals

Metric AS Roma Udinese
HATHAT
GF total55106612
GF avg1.01.01.01.21.21.2
GA total3257815
GA avg0.60.40.51.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaUdinese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%50%90%80%
1.530%0%20%40%
2.50%0%10%30%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaUdinese
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricAS RomaUdinese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAS RomaUdinese
Wins32
Draws02
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-21-2
Biggest losses0-11-00-33-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against1133

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaUdinese
Form53%47%
Att42%58%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h100%0%
Goals81%19%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : AS Roma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ 188Bet
Away7.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.72 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 1.29 (league 1.24), Udinese = 0.66 (league 1.09)

Udinese
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 14.1% 9.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 19.0%

Vtot 31 , Vtod1