Serie A — Italy
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:00 • Unipol Domus
Match Finished
3 - 3
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.24) 1.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 25.5% 48.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 7.6% 11.7% 9.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.8% 12.1% 9.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.0% 6.3% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCagliariGenoa
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack23%38%
Defense38%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cagliari Genoa
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%17%18%0%20%9%
Draws20%50%36%50%20%36%
Loses60%33%45%50%60%55%

Form: Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLD • Genoa: DLDLLLDLLWD

League goals

Metric Cagliari Genoa
HATHAT
GF total459268
GF avg0.80.80.80.31.20.7
GA total77148816
GA avg1.41.21.31.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCagliariGenoa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%55%82%
1.527%45%18%55%
2.50%0%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCagliariGenoa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score235505

Penalties

MetricCagliariGenoa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCagliariGenoa
Wins21
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-32-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricCagliariGenoa
Form29%71%
Att38%63%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total40.7%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Genoa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.92 @ 1xBet
Away2.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.41 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cagliari = 1.03 (league 1.24), Genoa = 1.55 (league 1.09)

Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 7.6% 11.7% 9.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.8% 12.1% 9.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.0% 6.3% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 48.7%

Vtot 55 , Vtod1