Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Giovanni Zini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.24) 1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.0% 33.3% 53.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.8%
0 - 0
22.5%
0 - 2
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 22.5% 24.8% 13.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3%
1 8.7% 9.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCremoneseAS Roma
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack29%29%
Defense71%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cremonese AS Roma
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%67%80%73%
Draws60%33%45%0%0%0%
Loses20%33%27%33%20%27%

Form: Cremonese: WWDDDLDDWLL • AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Cremonese AS Roma
HATHAT
GF total66127512
GF avg1.21.01.11.21.01.1
GA total6713325
GA avg1.21.21.20.50.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCremoneseAS Roma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%73%45%
1.527%27%36%0%
2.59%9%0%0%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCremoneseAS Roma
HATHAT
Clean sheets123336
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricCremoneseAS Roma
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCremoneseAS Roma
Wins23
Draws30
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-24-10-11-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2411

Model comparison

MetricCremoneseAS Roma
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.5%58.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AS Roma and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.86 @ 1xBet
Away1.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ SBO
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cremonese = 0.39 (league 1.24), AS Roma = 1.10 (league 1.09)

AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 22.5% 24.8% 13.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3%
1 8.7% 9.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.0% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 53.7%

Vtot 36 , Vtod1