Serie A — Italy
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.24) 1.48 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.5% 26.4% 52.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 10.1% 15.0% 11.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.2% 12.1% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaJuventus
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack38%38%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Juventus
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins0%0%0%50%40%45%
Draws20%67%45%50%20%36%
Loses80%33%55%0%40%18%

Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLD • Juventus: WWWDDDLLWWD

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Juventus
HATHAT
GF total54910414
GF avg1.00.70.81.70.81.3
GA total108185510
GA avg2.01.31.60.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaJuventus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%64%64%
1.518%64%36%18%
2.50%18%18%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaJuventus
HATHAT
Clean sheets022314
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaJuventus
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaJuventus
Wins03
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-11-2
Biggest losses1-33-0—2-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaJuventus
Form22%78%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h29%71%
Goals50%50%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Juventus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.91 @ 1xBet
Draw3.42 @ 1xBet
Away2.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 0.81 (league 1.24), Juventus = 1.48 (league 1.08)

Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 10.1% 15.0% 11.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.2% 12.1% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 52.6%

Vtot 34 , Vtod1