Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.24) 0.74 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.2% 17.4% 10.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 0
11.3%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 5.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.3% 8.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.5% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioLecce
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack18%18%
Defense88%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Lecce
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%17%36%0%40%18%
Draws20%33%27%50%20%36%
Loses20%50%36%50%40%45%

Form: Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWL • Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWD

League goals

Metric Lazio Lecce
HATHAT
GF total10313358
GF avg2.00.51.20.51.00.7
GA total4597714
GA avg0.80.80.81.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%45%55%55%
1.536%27%18%45%
2.527%9%0%18%
3.59%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score156415

Penalties

MetricLazioLecce
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLazioLecce
Wins11
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-3—0-1
Biggest losses0-12-00-24-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricLazioLecce
Form62%38%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lazio or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ 1xBet
Away5.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ SBO
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 2.27 (league 1.24), Lecce = 0.74 (league 1.09)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 5.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.3% 8.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.5% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.2% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 10.5%

Vtot 44 , Vtod1