Serie A — Italy
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.24) 0.89 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 30.0% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 12.9% 11.4% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapoliAtalanta
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack31%15%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoli Atalanta
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%50%64%17%20%18%
Draws20%0%9%67%60%64%
Loses0%50%27%17%20%18%

Form: Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDL • Atalanta: DDWWDDDDDLL

League goals

Metric Napoli Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total97167613
GF avg1.81.21.51.21.21.2
GA total46107411
GA avg0.81.00.91.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapoliAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%73%82%
1.545%27%18%9%
2.527%0%18%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapoliAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricNapoliAtalanta
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricNapoliAtalanta
Wins42
Draws15
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-10-3
Biggest losses—2-00-31-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricNapoliAtalanta
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h60%40%
Goals44%56%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Napoli or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.22 @ 1xBet
Away3.38 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Napoli = 1.16 (league 1.24), Atalanta = 0.89 (league 1.08)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 12.9% 11.4% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 61 , Vtod1