Serie A — Italy
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 • Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.24) 0.36 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 53.3% 21.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
46.2%
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 1
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 46.2% 16.6% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaVerona
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack53%33%
Defense33%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Verona
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins0%17%8%0%0%0%
Draws50%33%42%50%50%50%
Loses50%50%50%50%50%50%

Form: Genoa: DLDLLLDLLWDD • Verona: DLDDLLDDLLDL

League goals

Metric Genoa Verona
HATHAT
GF total2911527
GF avg0.31.50.90.80.30.6
GA total8111981018
GA avg1.31.81.61.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaVerona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%83%50%75%
1.525%58%8%50%
2.58%17%0%17%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaVerona
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score505246

Penalties

MetricGenoaVerona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGenoaVerona
Wins10
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2——
Biggest losses0-32-11-24-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricGenoaVerona
Form71%29%
Att62%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Genoa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.06 @ 1xBet
Away4.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 0.41 (league 1.24), Verona = 0.36 (league 1.09)

Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 46.2% 16.6% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 53.3% · Away win 21.4%

Vtot 34 , Vtod1