Serie A — Italy
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:00 • Allianz Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.24) 0.59 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.6% 23.8% 12.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
14.5%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus 0 10.7% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventusCagliari
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack40%40%
Defense73%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventus Cagliari
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%33%42%17%17%17%
Draws50%33%42%33%50%42%
Loses0%33%17%50%33%42%

Form: Juventus: WWWDDDLLWWDD • Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDD

League goals

Metric Juventus Cagliari
HATHAT
GF total105157512
GF avg1.70.81.31.20.81.0
GA total561110717
GA avg0.81.00.91.71.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventusCagliari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%58%83%
1.533%17%33%50%
2.517%8%8%8%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventusCagliari
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricJuventusCagliari
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricJuventusCagliari
Wins32
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-01-2
Biggest losses—2-00-22-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricJuventusCagliari
Form73%27%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total69.8%30.2%

Advice: Double chance : Juventus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw6.31 @ Pinnacle
Away12.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Juventus = 1.65 (league 1.24), Cagliari = 0.59 (league 1.09)

Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus 0 10.7% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.6% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 32 , Vtod1