Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:30 • Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.24) 0.88 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 35.5% 37.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.8%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Torino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 20.8% 18.4% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 12.6% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLecceTorino
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack27%45%
Defense45%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecce Torino
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins0%33%17%33%17%25%
Draws50%17%33%33%50%42%
Loses50%50%50%33%33%33%

Form: Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDL • Torino: LDWLLDWWDDDL

League goals

Metric Lecce Torino
HATHAT
GF total3586511
GF avg0.50.80.71.00.80.9
GA total7916111021
GA avg1.21.51.31.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLecceTorino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%58%58%58%
1.517%50%25%50%
2.50%17%8%33%
3.50%8%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLecceTorino
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score426235

Penalties

MetricLecceTorino
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLecceTorino
Wins12
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-10-1
Biggest losses0-24-11-55-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2455

Model comparison

MetricLecceTorino
Form40%60%
Att38%63%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h29%71%
Goals17%83%
Total37.3%62.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Torino and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 1xBet
Away2.69 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.79 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecce = 0.69 (league 1.24), Torino = 0.88 (league 1.09)

Torino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 20.8% 18.4% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 12.6% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 37.8%

Vtot 38 , Vtod2