Serie A — Italy
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.22) 0.45 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 35.6% 16.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.9%
1 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 23.9% 10.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC MilanLazio
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack47%33%
Defense67%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Milan Lazio
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%50%58%67%17%42%
Draws17%50%33%17%33%25%
Loses17%0%8%17%50%33%

Form: AC Milan: LWWWWDWDDWDW • Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLW

League goals

Metric AC Milan Lazio
HATHAT
GF total991812315
GF avg1.51.51.52.00.51.3
GA total639459
GA avg1.00.50.80.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC MilanLazio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%50%50%42%
1.550%25%42%25%
2.58%0%25%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC MilanLazio
HATHAT
Clean sheets246437
Failed to score011156

Penalties

MetricAC MilanLazio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAC MilanLazio
Wins41
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-2—0-12-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricAC MilanLazio
Form47%53%
Att58%42%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AC Milan or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.88 @ 1xBet
Away5.87 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AC Milan = 0.99 (league 1.22), Lazio = 0.45 (league 1.12)

Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 23.9% 10.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 16.3%

vtt 38 , vtd1