Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 • Unipol Domus
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.24) 2.03 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.7% 18.2% 72.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.7%
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 3
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 8.1% 16.4% 16.7% 11.3% 5.7% 2.3%
1 3.9% 8.0% 8.1% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.0% 1.9% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCagliariAS Roma
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack56%78%
Defense0%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cagliari AS Roma
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%14%15%57%83%69%
Draws33%43%38%0%0%0%
Loses50%43%46%43%17%31%

Form: Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDDL • AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Cagliari AS Roma
HATHAT
GF total76137815
GF avg1.20.91.01.01.31.2
GA total10919437
GA avg1.71.31.50.60.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCagliariAS Roma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%85%69%54%
1.531%54%38%0%
2.58%8%8%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCagliariAS Roma
HATHAT
Clean sheets112336
Failed to score235314

Penalties

MetricCagliariAS Roma
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCagliariAS Roma
Wins23
Draws20
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-11-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricCagliariAS Roma
Form18%82%
Att42%58%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h7%93%
Goals9%91%
Total21.0%79.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AS Roma

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.47 @ 1xBet
Draw3.78 @ 1xBet
Away1.76 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ SBO
Under 2.51.75 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 10Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cagliari = 0.49 (league 1.24), AS Roma = 2.03 (league 1.09)

AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 8.1% 16.4% 16.7% 11.3% 5.7% 2.3%
1 3.9% 8.0% 8.1% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.0% 1.9% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.7% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 72.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1