Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:30 • Stadio Giovanni Zini
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.24) 1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 26.1% 28.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 7.7% 8.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.0% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCremoneseLecce
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack41%18%
Defense59%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cremonese Lecce
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%43%31%14%33%23%
Draws50%29%38%43%17%31%
Loses33%29%31%43%50%46%

Form: Cremonese: WWDDDLDDWLLLW • Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Cremonese Lecce
HATHAT
GF total79165510
GF avg1.21.31.20.70.80.8
GA total98178917
GA avg1.51.11.31.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCremoneseLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%54%62%
1.531%31%23%46%
2.515%15%0%15%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCremoneseLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score123426

Penalties

MetricCremoneseLecce
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCremoneseLecce
Wins21
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-10-1
Biggest losses1-34-10-24-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricCremoneseLecce
Form46%54%
Att70%30%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals46%54%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lecce

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 1xBet
Draw3.12 @ 1xBet
Away3.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cremonese = 1.46 (league 1.24), Lecce = 1.10 (league 1.09)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 7.7% 8.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.0% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 28.5%

Vtot 28 , Vtod7